Future & Foresight Collection

Where could technology take us, and what does the evidence say?

Technology is changing how we power homes, move around, build, grow food and work. This collection explores where those changes could lead over the next 5, 10, 20 and 30 years. We treat each future as a possibility to examine, not a prediction to accept.

A curated collection: researcher profiles, long-range explainers and reviews of past forecasts, with every prediction labelled as a prediction.

Curated for Future & Foresight

Articles chosen by our editors across the topic areas.

What we explore

Six questions behind this collection.

We are not trying to convince anyone of a particular future. We want readers to understand the possibilities and weigh the evidence themselves.

  1. Where could technology take humanity over the next 5, 10, 20 and 30 years?
  2. How might energy, transport, construction, manufacturing, agriculture and AI change?
  3. What happens when technologies become much cheaper and more accessible?
  4. Could we move from resource scarcity towards greater abundance, and what would that depend on?
  5. Which emerging technologies could improve wellbeing while reducing environmental harm?
  6. What can individuals, businesses and governments do now to prepare?

Themes we will follow

The collection is built to grow across many researchers and subjects, including views that challenge prevailing forecasts. Related practical coverage stays in our existing topics.

  • Energy futures

    How generation, storage and demand could change. For today’s technologies see Energy & Storage.

  • Future of construction

    Robotics, prefabrication, 3D printing, advanced materials and AI-assisted design. For current methods see Better Buildings.

  • Transport & mobility

    Electrification, automation and the ways we might own, share or pay for travel.

  • AI & automation

    Where AI and robotics may change design, manufacturing and work, and where the limits are.

  • Food & agriculture

    New production methods, land and resource use, and how far they have actually progressed.

  • Materials & manufacturing

    New materials and production methods, and what they could mean for cost and waste.

  • Circular economy

    How reuse, recovery and redesign could change what we make and keep. See Circular Living.

  • Future thinkers

    Profiles of researchers, entrepreneurs, scientists and organisations, including those who disagree with each other.

  • Predictions vs reality

    What was forecast, when, on what assumptions, and what has happened since.

How we separate evidence from prediction

A forecast is not a fact, and a scenario is not a forecast. In this collection each claim is treated as one of four things, and we say which.

  • Established finding

    Measured or reported data and well-replicated research, with the source and its date.

  • Forecast

    A projection with a stated timeframe and assumptions. We record who made it and when.

  • Scenario

    What could follow if certain assumptions hold. A scenario is not a claim that those assumptions will hold.

  • Opinion or speculation

    Informed views and open questions. We say where evidence is not enough to decide.

A way of thinking

Why the shape of adoption matters.

Many technologies are adopted along an S-shaped curve: slowly at first, then quickly, then levelling off as the market fills. The pattern is described in Everett Rogers’ Diffusion of Innovations, first published in 1962.

The shape raises a fair question for any forecast. Does it assume steady change when adoption could accelerate, or assume acceleration when something could stall? The diagram is a concept, not data. Where we discuss real technologies, we use dated measurements and name the source.

Concept diagram of an S-shaped adoption curve A line that starts low and flat, rises steeply through the middle and flattens near the top. Three labels mark the stages: early adoption, rapid growth and saturation. The diagram is illustrative only and shows no real data. Early adoption Rapid growth Saturation Time Share of market
Illustrative S-curve. Not real data.

Predictions vs reality

How we review a forecast.

When we look back at a forecast, we start from the original publication, then compare it with independent data, not with the forecaster’s own later assessment.

We use original reports and independent sources such as the IEA, IRENA, CSIRO, AEMO and peer-reviewed research. Where the evidence is not enough to judge a forecast, we say so.

  1. What was originally predicted?
  2. When was it made, and over what timeframe?
  3. What assumptions supported it?
  4. What has actually happened, according to independent sources?
  5. What remains uncertain?
  6. Do credible sources disagree?

Explore other areas

  • Energy & Storage

    Solar, batteries, efficiency and the systems that tie them together, from rental-friendly power to whole-home storage.

  • Better Buildings

    Materials, construction methods and design ideas that make buildings more comfortable, durable and resource-smart.

  • Circular Living

    Repairable, reusable and well-designed products, plus the recycling and recovery technologies that keep materials in play.

  • Collection

    Future Innovations

    Emerging technologies and research worth watching, with honest notes on how close each one is to real-world use.